Monday, December 18, 2006

Who's Watching the Watchers?

I know, the title is so cliche. But I've got good reason for it:

FORT COLLINS, Colo. (AP) - Colorado State University hurricane forecaster William Gray is predicting above-average hurricane activity in the Atlantic during 2007. Click here for the full story.

Click here for an animated radar image of Hurricane Katrina coming ashoreIt's just another item that came over the wires here in the 9 Newsroom, right? But this one always captures our attention in south Louisiana. Even a year after Hurricanes Katrina and Rita roared ashore, the thought of facing another storm just kind of makes you sick to your stomach, doesn't it?

Of course, here's what the hurricane experts were saying as the 2006 season began:

Colorado Springs, Colo. (AP) - Hurricane experts at Colorado State University say residents of the hurricane zone are likely to endure another above-average season this year, but it probably will not be as hyperactive as last year's hurricane season. Click here for the full story.

Thankfully, their predictions didn't pan out -- but these are the experts! It's been suggested that we should stop trying to predict an entire season's worth of storms and just focus on the day-to-day weather forecasts that tend to be much more accurate.

Or is it worth spending time trying to guess the weather a month, or two months, or six months down the line? Do you think they'll ever get it right?